There are lots of mechanical forex robots you can choose from and most of the sold ones lose yet, you can get one which is free and will out perform them and its free and even better it's simple to understand and use so you can soon be seeking currency trading success with it...
The forex robot we are going to look at here is a simple system that has been around for over 20 years and has been the basis of many a successful trading system - its extremely simple, yet continually makes money year, after year and is based on timeless logic
Background
The system was developed to trade commodities in the late seventies by trading legend Richard Donchian, who is considered the grandfather of modern trend following and was developed to trade commodity markets. It can in fact be used on any trending market and forex markets, with there excellent trends make it an ideal one to use this system on.
The Rule
This system only has one basic trading rule so here it is:
Close any short positions and go long whenever the price exceeds the highs of the previous 4 calendar weeks and reverse again and close any long positions and go short when the price falls below the lows of the previous 4 weeks. This system maintains a position in the market all the time and is a SAR (stop and reverse) system.
Well you can't get much simpler than that - but don't be deceived by its simplicity, it works and here's why:
Why it Works
Currencies trend longer term and most of the big trends start from breakouts. The above is a long term trend following system and will put you on the side of every major trend.
Do not be deceived by the fact its simple - judge it on the basis of how much money it makes
It continually makes great gains and its simplicity is part of its power.
All the best forex trading systems are simple, as they have fewer elements to break in the real world of trading.
There is no link between complexity and currency trading success - simple systems work and you can easily find out by testing it.
What is the Downside?
All currency trading system have them and this one is no exception. When markets don't trend of course, you will take losses but you can smooth the equity curve by adding a filter - simply exit on a 1 or 2 week stop and remain flat until the next 4 week signal. You can also use a moving average if you wish.
Which ever route you take the system will make money it just depends on your drawdown tolerance.
Why it Works and most traders won't Use it
Many traders despite the evidence it makes money, will dismiss it as too simple ( you don't even need a computer program to calculate it) and many still feel "safer" using a more complicated system, even thought this one will beat almost all forex robots sold. Sure, there more complex and come with a flash presentation but check there track records - there just simulations in the past and have never made real money - this one has and will continue to make money.
Secondly, its brutal in its trading signals - you have to take them as they are no subjectivity!
It's not fussy about perfect market timing and although you can never buy bottoms and tops, traders still try and fail. You need tremendous discipline to execute it.
Thirdly, it doesn't trade often and that's not a problem, if you want to do other things with your time and are trading to make money not excitement but many traders equate (wrongly) trading frequency with success.
Finally, It's not flavor of the month and is 30 years old. Traders today, like to use chaos theory, artificial intelligence, neural networks and all sorts of theories (that don't work as well) but they sound good! Put it this way, if technology helped you win at forex trading, the ratio of winners would be much higher today than 50 years ago and its not - it's the same. So complexity doesn't help you win - PERIOD.
Final words
This system has made traders millions, has been used by some of the top traders of all time and if you want currency trading success, this forex robot works and that's the test of any trading system. Take a look at it and you maybe glad you did.
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Forex Short Term Trading Strategies - Forex Day Trading Restrict Risk Build Big Profits
Forex day trading is very popular and is probably the route most new forex traders try and the appeal is obvious - trading with low risk and building steady long term gains but how do you win...
The industry in short term trading us huge and there are numerous courses to train you and teach you the basics and they all have tremendous track records with low drawdown and huge long term gains. There is a problem though and it lies in this warning you will see:
"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading.
And
Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".
Of course, there is a huge difference between knowing what happened and not and anyone even a kid can become a millionaire on paper.
In real time it's all a lot harder
Within a day trying to predict, to predict what a vast number of traders will do, in a time period of minutes or hours is impossible as the price can go anywhere.
To make money you need data that is reliable - it's as simple as that.
You need to be able to work out the probability of a price going in a specific direction on your forex chart and its plainly obvious you don't have decent data to work with and you cannot get an edge or the odds in your favor.
The odds are not in your favor and this means you are destined to lose.
Alas forex day trading is a good theory (if it worked) but it doesn't add up in practice and if you are not convinced, try and find an audited track record of a day trader over a few years - you wont find one, you will find day traders with simulations - but that's not hard crisp dollars, you can spend them. Don't trade short term, trade longer term and get yourself the right forex education, get the odds on your side and enjoy currency trading success.
The industry in short term trading us huge and there are numerous courses to train you and teach you the basics and they all have tremendous track records with low drawdown and huge long term gains. There is a problem though and it lies in this warning you will see:
"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading.
And
Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".
Of course, there is a huge difference between knowing what happened and not and anyone even a kid can become a millionaire on paper.
In real time it's all a lot harder
Within a day trying to predict, to predict what a vast number of traders will do, in a time period of minutes or hours is impossible as the price can go anywhere.
To make money you need data that is reliable - it's as simple as that.
You need to be able to work out the probability of a price going in a specific direction on your forex chart and its plainly obvious you don't have decent data to work with and you cannot get an edge or the odds in your favor.
The odds are not in your favor and this means you are destined to lose.
Alas forex day trading is a good theory (if it worked) but it doesn't add up in practice and if you are not convinced, try and find an audited track record of a day trader over a few years - you wont find one, you will find day traders with simulations - but that's not hard crisp dollars, you can spend them. Don't trade short term, trade longer term and get yourself the right forex education, get the odds on your side and enjoy currency trading success.
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